| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.5% | 45% | +9.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| logistic | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Keegan Smith | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1582 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1582 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Edward Winter | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Edward Winter | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxim Zhukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Dylan Dietrich | 2 - 0 | Keegan Smith |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |