OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-09
⚽ Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 09 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Braunschweig 0.20 1 - 0 0.60 Holstein Kiel
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.5%42%+5.8%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.2%78%-2.7%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 59.7%56%+3.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.2%40%+9.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.0%25.7%40.2%
xgboost36.3%26.2%37.4%
logistic35.9%30.0%34.1%
Inputs the models saw
BraunschweigHolstein Kiel
Elo (pre-match)13671412
Surface Elo13671412
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.60
Form trend-0.100.00
Season points per game0.001.00
Season goals for / game0.001.00
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 3 D
Braunschweig: last 5
19 SepAKaiserslautern0 - 1L
19 SepAKaiserslautern0 - 1L
12 SepHDresden2 - 2D
06 SepAOsnabruck1 - 3L
28 AugHHertha Berlin3 - 5L
Holstein Kiel: last 5
19 SepHOsnabruck1 - 1D
19 SepHOsnabruck1 - 1D
13 SepAHeidenheim0 - 1L
05 SepHNurnberg2 - 2D
30 AugAMagdeburg0 - 2L
Head to head
02 May 2026Holstein Kiel2 - 0Braunschweig
07 Dec 2025Braunschweig1 - 1Holstein Kiel
19 Jan 2024Holstein Kiel1 - 2Braunschweig
30 Jul 2023Braunschweig0 - 1Holstein Kiel
17 Feb 2023Braunschweig2 - 3Holstein Kiel
13 Aug 2022Holstein Kiel3 - 0Braunschweig
30 Jan 2021Holstein Kiel3 - 1Braunschweig
26 Sep 2020Braunschweig0 - 0Holstein Kiel
13 May 2018Holstein Kiel6 - 2Braunschweig
08 Dec 2017Braunschweig0 - 0Holstein Kiel
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.3043.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7526.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.9034.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5265.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC