| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.3% | 68% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.5% | 89% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 83.2% | 85% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 42% | +10.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 58.7% | 23.8% | 17.5% |
| xgboost | 67.4% | 22.2% | 10.4% |
| logistic | 69.8% | 20.8% | 9.4% |
| Palermo | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1629 | 1389 |
| Surface Elo | 1629 | 1389 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Salernitana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Empoli | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Empoli | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Modena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Modena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Padova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Padova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Benevento | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Carrarese | 0 - 1 | Palermo |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Palermo | 5 - 0 | Carrarese |
| 13 May 2025 | Palermo | 1 - 1 | Carrarese |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Carrarese | 1 - 0 | Palermo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |