| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.3% | 49% | +11.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.3% | 40.6% |
| logistic | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Mackenzie Mcdonald | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1625 | 1506 |
| Surface Elo | 1625 | 1506 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 8 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Ryan Nijboer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Toby Samuel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Toby Samuel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Jul | A | Alex Michelsen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Nico Hipfl | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 1 - 2 | Ryan Nijboer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Oct 06:15 |