| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.5% | 58% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.4% | 45.7% |
| xgboost | 63.7% | 34.6% |
| logistic | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Utah Utah Hockey Club | Tampa Bay Lightning | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1595 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1595 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.73 | 3.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.27 | 2.90 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 5 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 4 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Edmonton Oilers | 2 - 6 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Edmonton Oilers | 4 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 - 4 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 6 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 6 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 4 - 3 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | New York Rangers | 1 - 4 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 0 | Utah Utah Hockey Club |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 2 - 4 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 8 - 0 | Utah Utah Hockey Club |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 6 - 4 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 24 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.26 | 44.2% | 24 Oct 21:20 |