OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Dundee United 2.20 1 - 1 0.80 Motherwell
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.1%50%-3.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.2%79%-3.9%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 60.8%66%-5.3%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.1%64%-6.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.8%26.0%35.2%
xgboost51.3%25.3%23.4%
logistic43.7%26.4%29.9%
Inputs the models saw
Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Elo (pre-match)16671655
Surface Elo16671655
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.200.80
Form trend0.40-0.70
Season points per game1.451.00
Season goals for / game1.451.17
Season goals against / game1.451.67
Rest days97
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Dundee United: last 5
28 OctACeltic2 - 2D
28 OctACeltic2 - 2D
24 OctHAberdeen3 - 2W
24 OctHAberdeen3 - 2W
17 OctASt Johnstone1 - 1D
Motherwell: last 5
31 OctHSt Mirren1 - 0W
31 OctHSt Mirren1 - 0W
28 OctASt Johnstone2 - 2D
28 OctASt Johnstone2 - 2D
25 OctHHeart of Midlothian FC0 - 2L
Head to head
02 Sep 2026Motherwell3 - 0Dundee United
28 Feb 2026Motherwell2 - 0Dundee United
13 Dec 2025Dundee United0 - 0Motherwell
29 Oct 2025Motherwell2 - 0Dundee United
22 Feb 2025Dundee United1 - 0Motherwell
14 Dec 2024Motherwell4 - 3Dundee United
30 Oct 2024Dundee United1 - 2Motherwell
28 May 2023Motherwell3 - 2Dundee United
15 Apr 2023Motherwell1 - 2Dundee United
29 Oct 2022Dundee United0 - 1Motherwell
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.3030.3%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.9025.6%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.9651.0%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5066.7%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6338.0%07 Nov 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.3629.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8126.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0848.1%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5664.1%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4540.8%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC