| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.5% | 44% | +5.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 78% | -3.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.5% | 61% | +2.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 51% | +4.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.8% | 27.9% | 33.3% |
| xgboost | 43.9% | 28.4% | 27.7% |
| logistic | 43.0% | 29.1% | 27.8% |
| Fleetwood Town | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1444 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1444 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.11 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 0.63 |
| Rest days | 7 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Barnsley | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Salford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Salford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 6 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Walsall | 0 - 1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | Walsall |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 0 | Walsall |
| 01 Oct 2024 | Walsall | 2 - 6 | Fleetwood Town |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Walsall | 2 - 0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 17 Nov 2018 | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 0 | Walsall |
| 05 May 2018 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 0 | Walsall |
| 21 Nov 2017 | Walsall | 4 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.03 | 49.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.82 | 54.9% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.96 | 51.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |