| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.8% | 81% | -17.5% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Erik Arutiunian | Colin Sinclair | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1504 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1504 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Gabriel Debru | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Aidan Mchugh | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Hayden Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Vickery, L | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Chen Dong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Stefan Vujic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Rio Noguchi | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.85 | 26.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 25 Oct 06:15 |