| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.4% | 82% | -11.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 93.4% | 99% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 91.3% | 97% | -6.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 69% | -7.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 76.6% | 16.8% | 6.6% |
| xgboost | 85.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| logistic | 84.0% | 12.4% | 3.6% |
| St. Gilloise | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1828 | 1433 |
| Surface Elo | 1828 | 1433 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 2.71 | 0.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 0.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 1.86 |
| Rest days | 21 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Antwerp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Lommel SK | 5 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Charleroi | 3 - 2 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | St Truiden | 3 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Anderlecht | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | KSK Heist | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | A | Royal Knokke FC | 2 - 3 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | K. Lyra-Lierse | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Kvv Thes Sport Tessenderlo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | RAAL La Louviere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 - 0 | St. Gilloise |
| 03 Aug 2025 | St. Gilloise | 5 - 0 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| 19 Jan 2025 | St. Gilloise | 1 - 0 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1 - 1 | St. Gilloise |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 - 2 | St. Gilloise |
| 12 Aug 2023 | St. Gilloise | 5 - 1 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| 21 Jan 2023 | St. Gilloise | 1 - 0 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 - 3 | St. Gilloise |
| 11 Mar 2022 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1 - 4 | St. Gilloise |
| 26 Nov 2021 | St. Gilloise | 1 - 3 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 9.50 | 10.5% | 11 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.50 | 18.2% | 11 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 11 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 11 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 11 Oct 15:00 |