| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.2% | 56% | -0.0% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 80.7% | 82% | -1.1% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.3% | 74% | -6.0% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 62% | -11.7% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 49.4% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.8% | 24.4% | 32.8% |
| xgboost | 42.8% | 27.0% | 30.2% |
| logistic | 43.0% | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| Real Madrid | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1841 | 1860 |
| Surface Elo | 1841 | 1860 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Elche | 3 - 2 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Vallecano | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Betis | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Malaga | 4 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Marseille | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Brest | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Monaco | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Lille | 2 - 2 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | Rennes | 2 - 2 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.78 | 56.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |