| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.4% | 43% | +13.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| logistic | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Gijs Brouwer | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1557 | 1463 |
| Surface Elo | 1557 | 1463 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Lucas Poullain | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Trufelli, Timeo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Andres Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Tom Paris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Leonardo Rossi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Emile Hudd | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |