| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.6% | 61% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| logistic | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lui Maxted | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Roger Pascual Ferra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Luca Potenza | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Stice, T | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Benjamin Willwerth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Mason Vaughan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Hiroki Sakagawa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Antonin Witz | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Marat Sharipov | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |