| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.6% | 29% | +17.2% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 78% | -2.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.5% | 40% | +20.8% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 60% | +7.6% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.6% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.5% | 25.1% | 29.4% |
| xgboost | 39.5% | 26.7% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 45.4% | 28.4% | 26.1% |
| Sociedad | Girona | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1658 | 1586 |
| Surface Elo | 1658 | 1586 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 6 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Levante | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Levante | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Deportivo Alaves C | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lillestroem SK | 6 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | CD Cuarte | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Naxara CD | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Celta B | 5 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Celta B | 5 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Terrassa FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 May 2026 | Girona | 1 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Sociedad | 1 - 2 | Girona |
| 18 May 2025 | Sociedad | 3 - 2 | Girona |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Girona | 0 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Girona | 0 - 0 | Sociedad |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Sociedad | 1 - 1 | Girona |
| 13 May 2023 | Sociedad | 2 - 2 | Girona |
| 02 Oct 2022 | Girona | 3 - 5 | Sociedad |
| 25 Feb 2019 | Girona | 0 - 0 | Sociedad |
| 22 Oct 2018 | Sociedad | 0 - 0 | Girona |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.66 | 60.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |