| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.9% | 84% | -20.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 13.2% | 86.7% |
| logistic | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| Fermin Tenti | Nicolas Zanellato | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1438 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1438 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Rocco Valente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Mariano Kestelboim | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Nicolas Mejia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Nick Hardt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | H | Mariano Kestelboim | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Mateo Barreiros Reyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Breno Braga | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Jun | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.19 | 84.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |