| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 62% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.2% | 40.7% |
| logistic | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.38 | 0.17 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Kai Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Pedro Rodenas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Kovac, Tilen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 0 | Svyatoslav Gulin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 15 Oct 06:15 |