| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.0% | 16% | +34.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 77.7% | 36% | +41.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.1% | 20% | +48.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 72% | -8.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 17.2% | 24.4% | 58.4% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 30.9% | 39.2% |
| logistic | 24.5% | 27.1% | 48.5% |
| Oldham | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1409 | 1747 |
| Surface Elo | 1409 | 1747 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Accrington | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Accrington | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Salford | 1 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Salford | 1 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Arsenal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Arsenal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Stockport | 3 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Tamworth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Barnsley | 4 - 3 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.20 | 16.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.40 | 18.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.32 | 75.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.30 | 30.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |