| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.4% | 73% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| logistic | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Andrej Nedic | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1440 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1440 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Gabriel Ghetu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Alexander Chang | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Oleg Prihodko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Rejchtman Vinciguerra, W | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |