| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.7% | 68% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.3% | 33.6% |
| logistic | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Aidan Mayo | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1704 | 1645 |
| Surface Elo | 1704 | 1645 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.12 | 2.18 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.53 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Alastair Gray | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Petr Nesterov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | James Trotter | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mitchell Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |