OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-14
⚽ Scotland League 2 · Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Stirling 2.00 15:00 2.00 Elgin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 42.6%50%-7.4%
DCHome or away 75.3%81%-5.9%
DNBAway (DNB) 55.7%67%-11.4%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.7%64%-6.4%
BTTSBTTS yes 58.8%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.0%24.5%38.5%
xgboost28.4%25.1%46.4%
logistic36.4%26.2%37.4%
Inputs the models saw
StirlingElgin
Elo (pre-match)13331382
Surface Elo13331382
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.002.00
Form trend0.600.60
Season points per game1.831.67
Season goals for / game1.671.67
Season goals against / game1.331.67
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Stirling: last 5
07 NovAStranraer0 - 3L
07 NovAStranraer0 - 3L
03 NovAEast Kilbride3 - 7L
31 OctHForfar5 - 2W
31 OctHForfar5 - 2W
Elgin: last 5
07 NovHDumbarton0 - 2L
07 NovHDumbarton0 - 2L
03 NovAAirdrieonians FC0 - 5L
31 OctAKelty Hearts1 - 0W
31 OctAKelty Hearts1 - 0W
Head to head
29 Aug 2026Elgin4 - 0Stirling
18 Apr 2026Stirling2 - 2Elgin
21 Feb 2026Elgin1 - 0Stirling
22 Nov 2025Stirling1 - 1Elgin
13 Sep 2025Elgin3 - 0Stirling
05 Apr 2025Elgin0 - 2Stirling
08 Feb 2025Stirling3 - 1Elgin
14 Dec 2024Elgin2 - 4Stirling
10 Aug 2024Stirling0 - 1Elgin
04 Apr 2023Stirling1 - 0Elgin
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2031.2%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5664.1%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%12 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC