| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.7% | 73% | -12.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.7% | 67.2% |
| logistic | 39.8% | 60.2% |
| Hugo Grenier | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 0.20 |
| Rest days | 14 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Bruno Pujol Navarro | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |