OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Scottish Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Inverness C 2.00 2 - 0 0.60 Arbroath
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.4%68%-12.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 82.4%94%-11.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 75.2%88%-13.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 56.0%53%+3.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 55.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson52.0%28.8%19.2%
xgboost54.8%25.2%20.0%
logistic64.6%21.1%14.3%
Inputs the models saw
Inverness CArbroath
Elo (pre-match)15971510
Surface Elo15971510
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.60
Form trend0.400.00
Season points per game1.301.10
Season goals for / game1.200.70
Season goals against / game1.101.50
Rest days37
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Inverness C: last 5
13 OctAQueens Park1 - 2L
10 OctHStenhousemuir2 - 0W
25 SepHMorton2 - 0W
19 SepALivingston2 - 2D
12 SepAAyr3 - 1W
Arbroath: last 5
10 OctHMorton1 - 2L
10 OctHMorton1 - 2L
03 OctAPartick0 - 3L
03 OctAPartick0 - 3L
25 SepHQueens Park2 - 1W
Head to head
08 Aug 2026Arbroath0 - 0Inverness C
26 Apr 2025Inverness C3 - 0Arbroath
08 Feb 2025Arbroath3 - 0Inverness C
14 Dec 2024Inverness C0 - 2Arbroath
05 Oct 2024Arbroath1 - 0Inverness C
06 Apr 2024Inverness C2 - 1Arbroath
24 Feb 2024Arbroath1 - 1Inverness C
16 Dec 2023Inverness C1 - 2Arbroath
30 Sep 2023Arbroath2 - 3Inverness C
11 Apr 2023Inverness C2 - 0Arbroath
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.7517.4%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.4867.6%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9052.6%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9052.6%17 Oct 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC