| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.5% | 69% | -8.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.1% | 67.8% |
| logistic | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Anna Blinkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1497 | 1580 |
| Surface Elo | 1497 | 1580 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Noma Noha Akugue | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Carole Monnet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Cagla Buyukakcay | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Bianca Andreescu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Caroline Werner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Elena Pridankina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Lois Boisson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Viktoria Hruncakova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |