| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 65% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.5% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| Marcos Giron | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1682 | 1646 |
| Surface Elo | 1682 | 1646 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Justin Boulais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Dylan Dietrich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Justin Boulais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Andres Andrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Michael Antonius | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Liam Draxl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Andy Andrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Michael Antonius | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |