OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-29
🎾 ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 07:20 UTC · finished
Matthew Dellavedova 1.20 0 - 2 1.20 Andre Ilagan
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 63.4%69%-5.6%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov30.1%69.9%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost46.6%53.4%
logistic39.0%61.0%
Inputs the models saw
Matthew DellavedovaAndre Ilagan
Elo (pre-match)14181616
Surface Elo14181616
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.20
Form trend0.300.90
Season points per game2.000.00
Season goals for / game1.331.00
Season goals against / game1.002.00
Rest days713
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Matthew Dellavedova: last 5
29 SepAAndre Ilagan0 - 2L
22 SepAFajing Sun1 - 2L
18 SepHHunter Heck0 - 2L
16 SepHEnzo Aguiard2 - 0W
15 SepHLomakin, Grigoriy2 - 1W
Andre Ilagan: last 5
29 SepHLloyd Harris0 - 2L
29 SepHMarat Sharipov2 - 0W
29 SepHMatthew Dellavedova2 - 0W
15 SepABryce Nakashima1 - 2L
14 SepHBryce Nakashima Nakashima1 - 2L
Head to head
29 Sep 2026Andre Ilagan2 - 0Matthew Dellavedova
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.4569.0%29 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6537.7%29 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC