| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.0% | 96% | -32.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 8.7% | 91.3% |
| logistic | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Manish Sureshkumar | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1404 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1404 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Samir Banerjee | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 May | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Alastair Gray | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Lorenzo Angelini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Max Purcell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Aidan Kim | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.04 | 96.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.50 | 11.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |