OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Celtic 2.00 1 - 0 0.80 Kilmarnock
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 80.5%85%-4.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 92.6%96%-3.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 91.7%95%-3.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64.2%79%-14.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 56.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson82.8%11.3%5.9%
xgboost78.7%13.4%7.9%
logistic84.2%11.7%4.1%
Inputs the models saw
CelticKilmarnock
Elo (pre-match)18931585
Surface Elo18931585
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.80
Form trend0.800.10
Season points per game1.670.83
Season goals for / game2.171.33
Season goals against / game1.172.33
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)8 W1 W · 1 D
Celtic: last 5
05 NovHBesiktas3 - 2W
03 NovARoss County0 - 2L
01 NovAFalkirk0 - 2L
01 NovAFalkirk0 - 2L
28 OctHDundee United2 - 2D
Kilmarnock: last 5
31 OctHSt Johnstone2 - 2D
31 OctHSt Johnstone2 - 2D
28 OctADundee1 - 3L
28 OctADundee1 - 3L
24 OctAFalkirk0 - 3L
Head to head
09 Aug 2026Kilmarnock1 - 5Celtic
15 Feb 2026Kilmarnock2 - 3Celtic
09 Nov 2025Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock
14 Sep 2025Kilmarnock1 - 2Celtic
12 Apr 2025Celtic5 - 1Kilmarnock
10 Nov 2024Kilmarnock0 - 2Celtic
04 Aug 2024Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock
15 May 2024Kilmarnock0 - 5Celtic
17 Feb 2024Celtic1 - 1Kilmarnock
10 Dec 2023Kilmarnock2 - 1Celtic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away13.517.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw8.5611.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.1884.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.2778.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.7526.7%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC