| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.6% | 57% | +0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 50.2% |
| logistic | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Dane Sweeny | Bernard Tomic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1595 | 1693 |
| Surface Elo | 1595 | 1693 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Shintaro Mochizuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Bernard Tomic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alex Bolt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Dane Sweeny | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Terence Atmane | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Yuta Shimizu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Bernard Tomic | 0 - 1 | Dane Sweeny |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Bernard Tomic | 1 - 2 | Dane Sweeny |
| 12 Jun 2023 | Bernard Tomic | 2 - 0 | Dane Sweeny |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |