OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-22
🎾 ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men Singles · Thursday 22 October 2026, 09:10 UTC · finished
Daniil Medvedev 1.80 2 - 0 0.60 Sho Shimabukuro
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 81.1%93%-12.4%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov80.6%19.4%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost95.6%4.4%
logistic86.2%13.8%
Inputs the models saw
Daniil MedvedevSho Shimabukuro
Elo (pre-match)20831604
Surface Elo20831604
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.60
Form trend0.90-0.60
Season points per game2.540.75
Season goals for / game1.690.50
Season goals against / game0.541.75
Rest days42
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Daniil Medvedev: last 5
22 OctHSho Shimabukuro2 - 0W
17 OctARafael Jodar0 - 2L
17 OctHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
16 OctHTommy Paul2 - 1W
16 OctHTommy Paul2 - 1W
Sho Shimabukuro: last 5
22 OctADaniil Medvedev0 - 2L
20 OctHRoman Safiullin2 - 1W
20 OctARoman Safiullin2 - 1W
07 OctHMiomir Kecmanovic0 - 2L
07 OctAMiomir Kecmanovic0 - 2L
Head to head
22 Oct 2026Daniil Medvedev2 - 0Sho Shimabukuro
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away9.4010.6%22 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.0793.5%22 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:00 UTC