OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC · finished
Le Havre 0.00 0 - 2 1.40 Lorient
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 39.4%34%+5.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 73.4%74%-0.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 53.2%48%+5.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.3%54%-3.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 48.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson33.6%28.6%37.8%
xgboost36.2%26.2%37.7%
logistic42.5%28.1%29.4%
Inputs the models saw
Le HavreLorient
Elo (pre-match)15211642
Surface Elo15211642
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.40
Form trend0.000.20
Season points per game0.221.33
Season goals for / game1.000.78
Season goals against / game2.220.89
Rest days85
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W2 W · 4 D
Le Havre: last 5
30 OctHParis Saint Germain1 - 5L
30 OctHParis Saint Germain1 - 5L
25 OctAMarseille3 - 4L
25 OctAMarseille3 - 4L
18 OctHAuxerre1 - 3L
Lorient: last 5
02 NovHBrest0 - 2L
25 OctAAngers0 - 0D
25 OctAAngers0 - 0D
18 OctHMonaco1 - 0W
18 OctHMonaco1 - 0W
Head to head
17 May 2026Lorient0 - 2Le Havre
21 Sep 2025Le Havre1 - 1Lorient
28 Jan 2024Lorient3 - 3Le Havre
03 Sep 2023Le Havre3 - 0Lorient
19 Oct 2019Le Havre2 - 2Lorient
17 May 2019Le Havre2 - 3Lorient
28 Jul 2018Lorient0 - 0Le Havre
05 Mar 2018Lorient1 - 0Le Havre
02 Oct 2017Le Havre3 - 2Lorient
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.3842.0%08 Nov 16:15
Bet3651X2draw3.2530.8%08 Nov 16:15
Bet3651X2home3.1032.3%08 Nov 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0050.0%08 Nov 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%08 Nov 16:15
SportyBet1X2away2.5339.5%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3929.5%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0333.0%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8354.6%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC