| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.1% | 61% | -5.5% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| ensemble | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| Detroit Lions | New England Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| playoff | 0.00 | |
| elo diff | 0.06 | |
| form diff | 0.12 | |
| rest diff | 0.02 | |
| home field | 0.00 | |
| point diff | 0.23 | |
| opponent strength diff | -0.05 | |
| Information cutoff (UTC) | 2026-11-12T21:21:59.911729+00:00 | |
| 08 Nov | A | Miami Dolphins | 19 - 9 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Minnesota Vikings | 19 - 15 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Green Bay Packers | 20 - 17 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Arizona Cardinals | 45 - 21 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carolina Panthers | 26 - 32 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Green Bay Packers | 27 - 45 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Miami Dolphins | 24 - 19 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Chicago Bears | 24 - 30 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | New York Jets | 26 - 19 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Las Vegas Raiders | 45 - 17 | W |
| 09 Oct 2022 | New England Patriots | 29 - 0 | Detroit Lions |
| 24 Sep 2018 | Detroit Lions | 26 - 10 | New England Patriots |
| 23 Nov 2014 | New England Patriots | 34 - 9 | Detroit Lions |
| 25 Nov 2010 | Detroit Lions | 24 - 45 | New England Patriots |
| 03 Dec 2006 | New England Patriots | 28 - 21 | Detroit Lions |
| 28 Nov 2002 | Detroit Lions | 12 - 20 | New England Patriots |
| 23 Nov 2000 | Detroit Lions | 34 - 9 | New England Patriots |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 12 Nov 17:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.6% | 12 Nov 17:20 |