| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.8% | 77% | +2.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 74.6% | 25.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 90.4% | 9.6% |
| logistic | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Maya Joint | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1614 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1614 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Sinja Kraus | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Kimberly Birrell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Lanlana Tararudee | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Dayeon Back | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Kimberly Birrell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Nikola Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Anastasia Potapova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Maya Joint | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Reese Brantmeier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Maya Joint | 1 - 2 | Sinja Kraus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 29 Sep 06:15 |