| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.6% | 78% | -11.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.3% | 21.6% |
| logistic | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Ryan Seggerman | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1413 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1413 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Hikaru Shiraishi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Naoki Tajima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Aleksandar Vukic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Federico Cina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Rio Noguchi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Linang Xiao | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Hanyi Liu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Kaichi Uchida | 0 - 2 | Ryan Seggerman |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 07 Oct 06:15 |