| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.1% | 75% | -8.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.8% | 94% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.8% | 91% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 75% | -15.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 71.3% | 17.0% | 11.7% |
| xgboost | 72.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| logistic | 70.9% | 19.8% | 9.3% |
| Club Brugge | St Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1818 | 1571 |
| Surface Elo | 1818 | 1571 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.38 | 1.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Lens | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | KSC Lokeren Temse | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Inter | 4 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | RAAL La Louviere | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | RAAL La Louviere | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Mechelen | 3 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Westerlo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Waasland-Beveren | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | RAAL La Louviere | 4 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | St. Gilloise | 0 - 3 | L |
| 09 May 2026 | Club Brugge | 2 - 0 | St Truiden |
| 11 Apr 2026 | St Truiden | 1 - 2 | Club Brugge |
| 06 Dec 2025 | St Truiden | 3 - 2 | Club Brugge |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Club Brugge | 2 - 0 | St Truiden |
| 15 Feb 2025 | St Truiden | 2 - 2 | Club Brugge |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Club Brugge | 7 - 0 | St Truiden |
| 17 Mar 2024 | St Truiden | 2 - 1 | Club Brugge |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Club Brugge | 1 - 1 | St Truiden |
| 19 Jan 2023 | St Truiden | 1 - 1 | Club Brugge |
| 19 Oct 2022 | Club Brugge | 3 - 0 | St Truiden |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 7.00 | 14.3% | 25 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.75 | 17.4% | 25 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 25 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.25 | 80.0% | 25 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 4.00 | 25.0% | 25 Oct 15:00 |