| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.3% | 57% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.5% | 79% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.5% | 72% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 78% | -23.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.7% | 27.2% | 34.2% |
| xgboost | 40.8% | 34.0% | 25.3% |
| logistic | 50.7% | 28.8% | 20.5% |
| Volendam | VVV Venlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1329 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1329 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 132 | 1959 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | GVVV Veenendaal | 2 - 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | SV Spakenburg | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | BVV Barendrecht | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 May | H | Telstar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 May | A | Excelsior | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 May | H | FC Emmen | 0 - 4 | L |
| 13 May | A | Ajax | 1 - 3 | L |
| 08 May | H | Waalwijk | 3 - 3 | D |
| 01 May | A | Heracles | 0 - 4 | L |
| 24 Apr | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.33 | 75.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.25 | 30.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |