| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.1% | 65% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.9% | 41.0% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Pedro Boscardin Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1622 | 1650 |
| Surface Elo | 1622 | 1650 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Miguel Tobon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 15 Sep 2025 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 23 Jun 2025 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 1 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 08 Oct 06:15 |