| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.4% | 95% | -18.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 82.2% | 17.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.4% | 21.6% |
| logistic | 83.8% | 16.2% |
| Elena Rybakina | Katarzyna Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1966 | 1517 |
| Surface Elo | 1966 | 1517 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 19 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Polina Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Katarzyna Kawa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Polina Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Daria Snigur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Elena Rybakina | 2 - 1 | Katarzyna Kawa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |