| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.8% | 34% | +10.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.9% | 77% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.4% | 48% | +7.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 52% | +4.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.7% | 28.4% | 39.9% |
| xgboost | 41.8% | 22.6% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 36.0% | 27.8% | 36.2% |
| East Fife | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1391 | 1426 |
| Surface Elo | 1391 | 1426 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Cove Rangers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Cove Rangers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | East Kilbride | 0 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | East Kilbride | 0 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Clydebank FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Annan Athletic | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Hamilton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Hamilton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 4 | L |
| 01 Aug 2026 | Alloa | 0 - 0 | East Fife |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Alloa | 2 - 0 | East Fife |
| 28 Feb 2026 | East Fife | 0 - 2 | Alloa |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Alloa | 1 - 1 | East Fife |
| 09 Aug 2025 | East Fife | 0 - 1 | Alloa |
| 26 Mar 2022 | East Fife | 0 - 3 | Alloa |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Alloa | 1 - 3 | East Fife |
| 04 Dec 2021 | East Fife | 1 - 1 | Alloa |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Alloa | 3 - 1 | East Fife |
| 13 Mar 2018 | Alloa | 1 - 2 | East Fife |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.79 | 55.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |