| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.3% | 47% | +6.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.0% | 53.9% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Alexander Bernard | Jacob Brumm | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1451 | 1376 |
| Surface Elo | 1451 | 1376 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 35 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Volodymyr Gurenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Max Dahlin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Gustavo Albieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | John Hallquist Lithen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Tyler Zink | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Petroski Rocha, Pedro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Aug | H | Juan Sebastian Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jan | H | Pavle Marinkov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Omni Kumar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Apr | A | Igor Gimenez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 05 Nov 06:15 |