| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 52% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.8% | 54.1% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Sumit Nagal | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1641 | 1622 |
| Surface Elo | 1641 | 1622 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Lima Sanches, Duarte | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | Sumit Nagal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.80 | 55.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |