| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.5% | 38% | +10.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 78% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.1% | 52% | +9.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 60% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.2% | 23.9% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 35.9% | 28.6% | 35.5% |
| logistic | 37.9% | 27.4% | 34.7% |
| Wycombe | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1506 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1506 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Wigan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Wigan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Colchester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Ipswich Town U21 | 6 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Bradford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Bradford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Sep | A | Stevenage | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Wycombe | 1 - 2 | Luton |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Luton | 4 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Wycombe | 1 - 3 | Luton |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Luton | 2 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 09 Feb 2019 | Luton | 3 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 01 Sep 2018 | Wycombe | 1 - 1 | Luton |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Luton | 2 - 3 | Wycombe |
| 16 Sep 2017 | Wycombe | 1 - 2 | Luton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |