| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.4% | 50% | -0.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.6% | 76% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.1% | 66% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 65% | -10.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.9% | 22.0% | 27.1% |
| xgboost | 45.3% | 31.0% | 23.7% |
| logistic | 41.0% | 29.6% | 29.3% |
| Zwolle | Cambuur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1463 | 1347 |
| Surface Elo | 1463 | 1347 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 22 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Groningen | 0 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Feyenoord | 0 - 7 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Nijmegen | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Heerenveen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nijmegen | 3 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Telstar | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Twente | 1 - 4 | L |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Cambuur | 3 - 4 | Zwolle |
| 06 Nov 2021 | Zwolle | 1 - 2 | Cambuur |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.42 | 29.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.85 | 26.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.01 | 49.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |