| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.1% | 56% | +6.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 89.3% | 86% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.6% | 77% | +8.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 65% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 77.1% | 15.2% | 7.7% |
| xgboost | 54.2% | 29.6% | 16.2% |
| logistic | 70.3% | 23.5% | 6.3% |
| PAOK | Apollon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1746 | 1367 |
| Surface Elo | 1746 | 1367 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1617 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Iraklis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Iraklis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Kalamata | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | PAE PS Kalamata | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Panionios | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Ialissos FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Ionikos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Pas Pyrgos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | APS Zakynthos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Proodeftiki FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Feb 2022 | Apollon | 0 - 2 | PAOK |
| 30 Oct 2021 | PAOK | 4 - 1 | Apollon |
| 07 Feb 2021 | PAOK | 2 - 2 | Apollon |
| 08 Nov 2020 | Apollon | 1 - 3 | PAOK |
| 18 Feb 2019 | Apollon | 1 - 5 | PAOK |
| 07 Oct 2018 | PAOK | 2 - 0 | Apollon |
| 21 Jan 2018 | PAOK | 3 - 0 | Apollon |
| 11 Sep 2017 | Apollon | 0 - 0 | PAOK |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.58 | 63.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |