| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.5% | 75% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| logistic | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Eliakim Coulibaly | John Echeverria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1479 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1479 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Aziz Ouakaa | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Makhlouf, Nazim | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Rocco Piatti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Christian Langmo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Felix Roussel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Thiago Agustin Pernas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Lars Goran Verwerft | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |