OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ League One · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Burton 1.60 1 - 3 1.60 Huddersfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 45.2%53%-8.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 71.6%79%-7.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 60.2%72%-11.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 47.0%51%-3.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson33.5%26.3%40.2%
xgboost30.1%34.4%35.4%
logistic30.1%28.9%41.0%
Inputs the models saw
BurtonHuddersfield
Elo (pre-match)14961537
Surface Elo14961537
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.60
Form trend0.000.80
Season points per game1.501.71
Season goals for / game1.631.57
Season goals against / game1.500.86
Rest days714
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W0 W · 2 D
Burton: last 5
26 SepAPlymouth1 - 0W
26 SepAPlymouth1 - 0W
22 SepHNottingham Forest1 - 1D
19 SepHMansfield2 - 2D
19 SepHMansfield2 - 2D
Huddersfield: last 5
19 SepABromley1 - 2L
19 SepABromley1 - 2L
12 SepAMansfield0 - 0D
05 SepHNotts County1 - 1D
01 SepHOxford3 - 1W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Burton3 - 1Huddersfield
20 Sep 2025Huddersfield0 - 0Burton
12 Apr 2025Burton3 - 0Huddersfield
29 Dec 2024Huddersfield1 - 1Burton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.6859.5%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home4.3323.1%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%03 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.9551.3%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.8026.3%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8254.9%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9651.0%03 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC