| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.6% | 77% | -15.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 89.3% | 98% | -8.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 85.5% | 96% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 50% | +10.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 56.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 11.0% | 28.5% | 60.5% |
| xgboost | 11.0% | 22.5% | 66.5% |
| logistic | 8.2% | 19.5% | 72.3% |
| Panetolikos | Olympiakos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1795 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1795 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 9 W · 1 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Kifisia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | PAOK | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Panathinaikos | 0 - 3 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Levadeiakos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Kalamata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Giouchtas | 0 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Panathinaikos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Levadeiakos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | OFI Crete | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Volos NFC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Olympiakos | 2 - 0 | Panetolikos |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Panetolikos | 0 - 1 | Olympiakos |
| 06 Jan 2025 | Panetolikos | 0 - 2 | Olympiakos |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Olympiakos | 0 - 0 | Panetolikos |
| 28 Feb 2024 | Panetolikos | 1 - 2 | Olympiakos |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Olympiakos | 3 - 1 | Panetolikos |
| 13 Feb 2023 | Olympiakos | 6 - 1 | Panetolikos |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Panetolikos | 0 - 2 | Olympiakos |
| 02 Feb 2022 | Olympiakos | 3 - 1 | Panetolikos |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Panetolikos | 1 - 2 | Olympiakos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 10.00 | 10.0% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 18 Oct 15:00 |