| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.6% | 83% | -13.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.1% | 18.8% |
| logistic | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Deney Wassermann | Matthias Ujvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1504 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1504 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 801 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Aug | H | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Alexey Zakharov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Jul | H | Tibo Colson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Jul | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Richard Lacis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | John Sperle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Mauro Mavracic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Apr | A | Hugo Gaston | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 15 Oct 06:15 |