OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-01

NFL · Sunday 01 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · scheduled

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 18:00 – Atlanta Falcons

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	56.6%	58%	-1.9%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	56.6%	43.4%

Inputs the models saw

	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Atlanta Falcons
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.05
form diff	-0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.12
opponent strength diff	-0.03
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-30T14:22:15.215646+00:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: last 5

25 Oct	A	Carolina Panthers	43 - 13	W
18 Oct	H	Pittsburgh Steelers	19 - 26	L
09 Oct	A	Dallas Cowboys	24 - 16	W
04 Oct	H	Green Bay Packers	14 - 17	L
27 Sep	H	Minnesota Vikings	16 - 23	L

Atlanta Falcons: last 5

25 Oct	H	San Francisco 49ers	29 - 20	W
18 Oct	H	Chicago Bears	23 - 31	L
12 Oct	H	Baltimore Ravens	23 - 30	L
06 Oct	A	New Orleans Saints	45 - 24	W
25 Sep	A	Green Bay Packers	35 - 14	W

Head to head

12 Dec 2025	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	28 - 29	Atlanta Falcons
07 Sep 2025	Atlanta Falcons	20 - 23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 Oct 2024	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	26 - 31	Atlanta Falcons
04 Oct 2024	Atlanta Falcons	36 - 30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10 Dec 2023	Atlanta Falcons	25 - 29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22 Oct 2023	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	13 - 16	Atlanta Falcons
08 Jan 2023	Atlanta Falcons	30 - 17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
09 Oct 2022	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21 - 15	Atlanta Falcons
05 Dec 2021	Atlanta Falcons	17 - 30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19 Sep 2021	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48 - 25	Atlanta Falcons

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.71	58.5%	30 Oct 12:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.24	44.6%	30 Oct 12:20

Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC