OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Celtic 3.00 0 - 1 2.40 Rangers
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 66.7%46%+21.1%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 89.8%73%+17.1%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 85.9%61%+24.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 44.4%65%-20.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 42.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.7%22.1%23.2%
xgboost50.9%33.3%15.9%
logistic59.2%22.7%18.2%
Inputs the models saw
CelticRangers
Elo (pre-match)19271817
Surface Elo19271817
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.002.40
Form trend0.00-0.60
Season points per game3.002.17
Season goals for / game2.331.17
Season goals against / game0.500.67
Rest days1010
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Celtic: last 5
09 SepASt Johnstone1 - 0W
05 SepASt Mirren2 - 1W
02 SepHAberdeen3 - 0W
29 AugHFalkirk2 - 1W
09 AugAKilmarnock5 - 1W
Rangers: last 5
09 SepHSt Mirren1 - 0W
05 SepHMotherwell1 - 0W
02 SepAFalkirk2 - 1W
30 AugAAberdeen1 - 0W
09 AugHHibernian1 - 2L
Head to head
10 May 2026Celtic3 - 1Rangers
01 Mar 2026Rangers2 - 2Celtic
03 Jan 2026Celtic1 - 3Rangers
31 Aug 2025Rangers0 - 0Celtic
04 May 2025Rangers1 - 1Celtic
16 Mar 2025Celtic2 - 3Rangers
02 Jan 2025Rangers3 - 0Celtic
01 Sep 2024Celtic3 - 0Rangers
11 May 2024Celtic2 - 1Rangers
07 Apr 2024Rangers3 - 3Celtic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.1032.3%20 Sep 12:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%20 Sep 12:00
Bet3651X2home2.1546.5%20 Sep 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%20 Sep 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2045.5%20 Sep 12:00
SportyBet1X2away3.1431.9%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6927.1%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2245.1%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5863.3%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%20 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC