OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-19
🇮🇹 Serie A · Monday 19 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Parma 0.80 0 - 3 1.40 Torino
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 42.8%41%+2.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.2%72%+1.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 54.5%59%-4.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.8%63%-7.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 49.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson33.2%30.2%36.7%
xgboost31.1%28.6%40.2%
logistic35.1%30.3%34.6%
Inputs the models saw
ParmaTorino
Elo (pre-match)16041618
Surface Elo16041618
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.40
Form trend-0.20-0.40
Season points per game0.671.17
Season goals for / game0.671.17
Season goals against / game1.671.50
Rest days97
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Parma: last 5
10 OctAInter0 - 3L
10 OctAInter0 - 3L
20 SepHGenoa2 - 1W
14 SepAComo1 - 2L
06 SepHMonza1 - 1D
Torino: last 5
12 OctHUdinese2 - 1W
19 SepABologna1 - 1D
14 SepHRoma0 - 2L
05 SepAFiorentina2 - 1W
29 AugASassuolo1 - 2L
Head to head
13 Mar 2026Torino4 - 1Parma
29 Sep 2025Parma2 - 1Torino
08 Mar 2025Parma2 - 2Torino
05 Jan 2025Torino0 - 0Parma
03 May 2021Torino1 - 0Parma
03 Jan 2021Parma0 - 3Torino
20 Jun 2020Torino1 - 1Parma
30 Sep 2019Parma3 - 2Torino
06 Apr 2019Parma0 - 0Torino
10 Nov 2018Torino1 - 2Parma
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2544.4%19 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw3.1032.3%19 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home3.5028.6%19 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.3043.5%19 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.6261.7%19 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away2.4840.3%19 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2131.1%19 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2830.5%19 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.3043.5%19 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6660.2%19 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC