OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Magdeburg 2.00 3 - 0 1.40 Hannover
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.3%41%+6.0%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.5%81%-5.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.1%54%+4.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.0%73%-16.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.5%24.8%35.7%
xgboost36.6%27.3%36.1%
logistic34.0%28.5%37.5%
Inputs the models saw
MagdeburgHannover
Elo (pre-match)14471519
Surface Elo14471519
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.40
Form trend0.40-0.30
Season points per game1.671.17
Season goals for / game1.831.17
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2119
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 1 D
Magdeburg: last 5
18 SepAGreuther Furth1 - 1D
12 SepHKaiserslautern3 - 0W
06 SepAHertha Berlin1 - 2L
30 AugHHolstein Kiel2 - 0W
15 AugAOsnabruck3 - 0W
Hannover: last 5
03 OctHSC Verl2 - 0W
20 SepHBochum2 - 1W
20 SepHBochum2 - 1W
11 SepANurnberg1 - 2L
04 SepHKarlsruhe2 - 2D
Head to head
30 Jan 2026Magdeburg1 - 2Hannover
23 Aug 2025Hannover3 - 1Magdeburg
29 Mar 2025Hannover0 - 0Magdeburg
27 Oct 2024Magdeburg0 - 3Hannover
31 Mar 2024Magdeburg0 - 3Hannover
20 Oct 2023Hannover2 - 1Magdeburg
26 Feb 2023Hannover1 - 2Magdeburg
19 Aug 2022Magdeburg0 - 4Hannover
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.7536.4%10 Oct 12:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7027.0%10 Oct 12:00
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%10 Oct 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4867.6%10 Oct 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6038.5%10 Oct 12:00
SportyBet1X2away2.6537.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3872.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9533.9%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC